Atlanta is 6-2 against Philadelphia this year, and it is hard to argue with its chances of improving that record in the series finale with how well Tyler Mahle has pitched of late.
Score prediction: Braves 4, Phillies 3
💰 Braves vs. Phillies prediction & best bet
Under 8 (-104)
Atlanta’s acquisition of Tyler Mahle has paid immediate dividends. In five starts since the trade, Mahle is 2-1 with a 1.48 ERA over 30 ⅓ innings, a 32:5 K:BB ratio, and a 0.96 WHIP. He has also held opponents to a .216 batting average and .581 OPS in that span, after allowing a .265 average and .770 OPS in 18 starts with the Giants.
Mahle’s success comes with a massive change in pitching philosophy. With Atlanta, he is throwing his splitter 38.5% of the time compared to a 25.1% pitch usage with the Giants.
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SBR Edge: Nola to match zeros
Aaron Nola has a great chance of matching zeros with Tyler Mahle, as he ended August with a 2.65 ERA, and has pitched to a 2.50 ERA since July 28 spanning seven starts.
