🏆 Who will win Phillies vs. Braves?
Atlanta just endured its first three-game home losing streak of the season this week, but I still have more confidence in the Braves than a Phillies squad that entered this series 3-5 in their last eight games, while not winning consecutive games at any point this month.
Score prediction: Braves 3, Phillies 2
💰 Phillies vs. Braves prediction & best bet
Braves ML (-115)
In Tyler Mahle’s first five starts with the Braves, he went 2-1 with a 1.48 ERA over 30 ⅓ innings, a 32:5 K:BB ratio, and a 0.96 WHIP. He held opponents to a .216 batting average and .581 OPS, after allowing a .265 average and .770 OPS in 18 starts with the Giants.
Mahle followed that up with six scoreless innings in his last start. I wouldn't put anyone off simply backing Atlanta to lead after five innings, since seven of the nine runs that were scored in Mahle’s last start against the Phillies came after the fifth inning.
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SBR Edge: Off to quick starts
Atlanta has covered the first five innings run line in 27 of its last 40 home games (+13.80 units/30% ROI).
